Crowd Pulse ·
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Market Depth
Liquidity
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24h Vol
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Movers
>2pp
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>5pp
0
Prediction Markets
Crowd intelligence · Thursday, March 5
Top Edges Today
Netanyahu out by...?
NOCrowd 31%-1.5pp edgeModel 30%
EV / $1
▲+0.015
Kelly
2.4%
Size
small
English Premier League Winner
YESCrowd 2%+0.9pp edgeModel 2%
EV / $1
▲+0.009
Kelly
0.5%
Size
small
NBA Rookie of the Year
YESCrowd 3%+0.9pp edgeModel 4%
EV / $1
▲+0.009
Kelly
0.5%
Size
small
Event Quant · Edge & Sizing
| Event | Crowd | Model | Edge | Side | EV / $1 | Kelly | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Netanyahu out by...? netanyahu-out-before-2027 | 31% | 30% | ▼-1.5pp | NO | ▲+0.015 | 2.4% | small low drag |
English Premier League Winner english-premier-league-winner | 2% | 2% | ▲+0.9pp | YES | ▲+0.009 | 0.5% | small low drag |
NBA Rookie of the Year nba-rookie-of-the-year-873 | 3% | 4% | ▲+0.9pp | YES | ▲+0.009 | 0.5% | small low drag |
Colombia Senate Election Winner colombia-senate-election-winner | 4% | 4% | ▲+0.8pp | YES | ▲+0.008 | 0.4% | small low drag |
La Liga Winner la-liga-winner | 4% | 5% | ▲+0.8pp | YES | ▲+0.008 | 0.4% | small low drag |
NBA MVP nba-mvp-694 | 3% | 4% | ▲+0.7pp | YES | ▲+0.007 | 0.4% | small low drag |
Next Prime Minister of Hungary next-prime-minister-of-hungary | 11% | 12% | ▲+0.6pp | YES | ▲+0.006 | 0.4% | small low drag |
2026 NBA Champion 2026-nba-champion | 2% | 2% | ▲+0.6pp | YES | ▲+0.006 | 0.3% | small low drag |
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner texas-republican-senate-primary-winner | 25% | 26% | ▲+0.5pp | YES | ▲+0.005 | 0.4% | small low drag |
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595 | 2% | 3% | ▲+0.5pp | YES | ▲+0.005 | 0.3% | small low drag |
NBA Western Conference Champion nba-western-conference-champion-933 | 7% | 7% | ▲+0.3pp | YES | ▲+0.003 | 0.2% | small low drag |
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion 2026-nhl-stanley-cup-champion | 3% | 3% | ▲+0.3pp | YES | ▲+0.003 | 0.1% | small low drag |
Top Movers Today
1%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Roy Cooper
▼-0.6pp 1d▲+0.2pp 7d100%$1.3M
18%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Marco Rubio
▲+2.4pp 1d▲+0.4pp 7d51%$176K
21%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
JD Vance
▼-0.5pp 1d▼-1.9pp 7d48%$770K
16%
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Bayern Munich
▲+0.5pp 1d▲+1.0pp 7d36%$572K
24%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Cleveland Cavaliers
▲+3.0pp 1d32%$85K
75%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Barcelona
▼-1.0pp 1d▲+13.0pp 7d31%$248K
Top Risk Events
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
ends 2028-11-07
100%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
44 mkts$44.3M liqscore 100%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
ends 2028-11-07
62%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
35 mkts$23.5M liqscore 48%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
ends 2028-11-07
61%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
33 mkts$18.0M liqscore 51%
English Premier League Winner
ends 2026-05-27
47%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
14 mkts$15.7M liqscore 28%
2026 NBA Champion
ends 2026-07-01
47%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
30 mkts$18.2M liqscore 21%
Tradable Markets · Best Quality
Market
Yes
Bid
Ask
Spread
Quality
Liq
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%1%1%0.1%0.70$2.2M
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%--0%0.1%0.69$2.2M
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%1%1%0.1%0.67$2.1M
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%--0%0.1%0.65$2.0M
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%--0%0.1%0.61$1.8M
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%--0%0.1%0.60$471K
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%1%1%0.1%0.60$1.8M
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%1%1%0.1%0.60$1.7M